● HOLD

Code Ninjas

Education & Childcare · Est. 2016 · 600 US Locations
Ideal Investor: Education/tech-minded operator or studio model for side business
65
$69K – $298K
Total Investment
$40K
Franchise Fee
6.0%
Royalty Rate
600
US Units
Education & Childcare
Category
+15.0%
Growth Rate

What is Code Ninjas?

Founded in 2016, Code Ninjas operates 600 US locations teaching computer coding and programming skills to children ages 7-14. The franchise capitalizes on growing demand for STEM education and creates recurring revenue through after-school programming.

Visit Code Ninjas franchise website

Investment & Fee Data

Investment Overview

Franchise Fee$40K
Total Investment$69K – $298K
Royalty Rate6.0%
Ad/Marketing Fund2.0%
Total Fee Burden8.0%

System Size & Growth

US Locations600
Unit Growth Rate+15.0%
Founded2016
Franchising Since2017
FDD Item 19Yes ✓

🔒 Premium Data Available

Avg Unit Volume (AUV)$350K
Owner Earnings$60K
SBA Default RateN/A
5-Year Survival85%
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💡 What This Means For You
The combined fee burden of 8.0% is within the industry average of 8-10%. Beyond the listed investment, expect approximately $117K in hidden costs (working capital, legal, insurance, tech fees) — bringing your realistic total closer to $300K.

Financial Performance & Risk Analysis

Financial Performance

Avg Unit Volume (AUV)$350K
Net Profit Margin20%
Est. Owner Earnings$60K
Breakeven12-18 months
Payback Period3-5 years

Capital Requirements & Operations

Liquid Capital Required$80K
Net Worth Required$200K
Staff Required3-8
Training2 weeks
TerritoryDesignated area
Multi-Unit RequiredNo
Term Length10 years

Risk & SBA Safety Data

SBA Default RateNo Data
5-Year Survival85%
Renewal FeeVaries
Transfer FeeVaries
💡 Financial Analysis
A revenue-to-investment ratio of 1.9x is solid and in line with industry norms. At estimated owner earnings of $60K/year, the simple payback period is approximately 3.1 years.
🔒

Premium Data

AUV, owner earnings, SBA default rates, breakeven analysis, and operational details for Code Ninjas.

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Due Diligence Deep Dive

The data franchise brokers don't show you — real costs, owner lifestyle, franchisee satisfaction, exit options, and FDD transparency.

💰 True Cost of Ownership

Working Capital (6 mo)$50K
Legal & Accounting$15K
Insurance (Annual)$15K
Tech/Software (Monthly)$800/mo
Lease Deposit Est.$20K
Grand Opening$12K
Total Hidden Costs$117K

👤 Owner Reality Check

Hours Per Week40-50
Absentee Owner Friendly?No ✗
Manager-Run Possible?Yes ✓
Seasonal VariationHigh
Labor Cost (% of Revenue)38%
Owner-managed operations. Expect to invest 40-50 hours per week managing day-to-day activities, staff oversight, customer acquisition, and brand compliance. Focus on operational efficiency and franchisee standards adherence.

📊 Franchisee Health

Satisfaction Score74/100 (Good)
Annual Turnover Rate7.0%
Litigation Count (Item 3)15 cases
5-Year Closure Rate5%
Avg Franchisee Tenure6 years
Franchisee AssociationYes ✓

🚪 Exit Strategy & Resale

Resale Value Multiple1.8-2.5xx earnings
Transfer RestrictionsFranchisor approval required; right of first refusal
Non-Compete Period1 years
Non-Compete Radius2 miles
Avg Time to Sell6-12 months
Exit DifficultyDifficult

📋 FDD Transparency Report

Item 19 QualityLimited
Item 19 Includes:
✓ Average unit volume
Territory ProtectionLimited
Territory scope varies by location; limited exclusivity provided
Required Suppliers?No
Supplier Markup RiskNone
Renewal Terms10-year term; renewal terms subject to brand standards compliance

🚩 FDD Red Flags & Green Flags

⚠️ Watch Out For:
Moderate fee structure (8.0% total)Litigation count: 15 cases
✅ Positive Signals:
Item 19 comprehensive financial disclosureEstablished system with strong unit baseTrack record data available
💡 Due Diligence Verdict
Exiting this franchise is rated as difficult. Plan your exit strategy before you buy — not when you're ready to leave.
🔍

Due Diligence Data

Hidden costs, owner hours, franchisee satisfaction, exit strategy, FDD red flags — the data that matters for Code Ninjas.

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AI Disruption Risk Assessment

🚨 AI Disruption Risk: High

68/100
AI-Proof Disruption Timeline: 2-3 years High Risk
High risk. Code Ninjas teaches a skill (coding) that AI now performs better and teaches better. As Copilot and Claude become mainstream, parents question paying for coding instruction. The franchise model is threatened by AI's superior teaching and the perception that coding itself is becoming less valuable.
AI Threats:
AI coding assistants (GitHub Copilot, Claude) make 'learn to code' less compellingAI can teach coding better than human instructorsFree coding education via ChatGPT undermines paid modelParents question ROI on coding camps as AI automates coding
Defensive Moat:
Real estate centers, brand, community, gamified learning platform.
🤖

AI Risk Analysis

See how AI will impact Code Ninjas over the next 5-10 years — threats, moats, and disruption timeline.

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Territory Saturation Analysis

0.18
Units per 100K pop.
0.11x
Saturation Index
vs. Education & Childcare avg (1.68/100K)
32
States with Presence
Low Saturation
Code Ninjas has significant whitespace opportunity relative to its category.

Geographic Distribution

No units
High density

Most Saturated States

State Units Population Per 100K
North Dakota16781,0002.05
Delaware181,031,0001.75
Montana171,118,0001.52
Maine161,344,0001.19
Hawaii151,424,0001.05

Least Saturated States

State Units Population Per 100K
Florida1723,555,0000.07
Texas2230,503,0000.07
California2939,029,0000.07
Georgia1611,370,0000.14
Illinois1812,549,0000.14

Growth Opportunity States

High-population states where Code Ninjas has minimal or no presence — potential expansion territories.

Michigan Washington Missouri Minnesota Alabama
🗺️

Premium Territory Intelligence

Interactive density heatmap, saturation metrics, and growth opportunities for Code Ninjas.

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Investment Thesis

Code Ninjas carries a HOLD signal with a FutureScore of 65/100. A STEM education franchise riding the coding-for-kids trend. The Studio model ($31K-$52K) is particularly interesting as an ultra-low-cost entry point. The 600+ unit count shows proven demand. Modest absolute earnings but strong growth and low investment.

Ideal Investor Profile: Education/tech-minded operator or studio model for side business

Strengths

600 units and 15% growthSTEM education demand growingStudio model available ($31K-$52K)8% total feesLow staffing requirements

Risk Factors

Low absolute AUV ($350K)Coding education competition from online platformsNewer franchise systemStudio model still unproven

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