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Wingstop

QSR · Est. 1994 · 2,200 US Locations
✅ SBA Default Rate: 2.8%
Ideal Investor: Growth-oriented multi-unit operator
82
$390K – $887K
Total Investment
$1.9M
Avg Unit Volume
6.0%
Royalty Rate
2,200
US Units
96%
5-Year Survival
+12.0%
Growth Rate

What is Wingstop?

Founded in 1994, Wingstop operates 2,200 US locations focused exclusively on chicken wings with customizable flavor profiles and wing-forward menu positioning. The brand has achieved rapid expansion through a franchise-first model and strong unit economics driven by efficient operations and digital ordering.

Visit Wingstop franchise website

Investment & Fee Data

Investment Overview

Franchise Fee$20K
Total Investment$390K – $887K
Royalty Rate6.0%
Ad/Marketing Fund4.0%
Total Fee Burden10.0%

System Size & Growth

US Locations2,200
Unit Growth Rate+12.0%
Founded1994
Franchising Since1997
FDD Item 19Yes ✓

Capital Requirements

Liquid Capital Required$600K
Net Worth Required$1.2M
Term Length10 years
TerritoryDesignated area
Multi-Unit RequiredYes
💡 What This Means For You
The combined fee burden of 10.0% is within the industry average of 8-10%. Beyond the listed investment, expect approximately $177K in hidden costs (working capital, legal, insurance, tech fees) — bringing your realistic total closer to $815K.

Financial Performance & Risk Analysis

Financial Performance

Avg Unit Volume (AUV)$1.9M
Net Profit Margin17%
Est. Owner Earnings$190K
Breakeven12-18 months
Payback Period3-5 years

Capital Requirements & Operations

Liquid Capital Required$600K
Net Worth Required$1.2M
Staff Required15-25
Training8 weeks
TerritoryDesignated area
Multi-Unit RequiredYes
Term Length10 years

Risk & SBA Safety Data

SBA Default Rate2.8%
5-Year Survival96%
Renewal Fee$10,000
Transfer Fee$5,000
💡 Financial Analysis
A revenue-to-investment ratio of 3.0x is solid and in line with industry norms. At estimated owner earnings of $190K/year, the simple payback period is approximately 3.4 years.

Due Diligence Deep Dive

The data franchise brokers don't show you — real costs, owner lifestyle, franchisee satisfaction, exit options, and FDD transparency.

💰 True Cost of Ownership

Working Capital (6 mo)$100K
Legal & Accounting$15K
Insurance (Annual)$12K
Tech/Software (Monthly)$800/mo
Lease Deposit Est.$30K
Grand Opening$15K
Total Hidden Costs$177K

👤 Owner Reality Check

Hours Per Week50-65
Absentee Owner Friendly?No ✗
Manager-Run Possible?Yes ✓
Seasonal VariationLow
Labor Cost (% of Revenue)31%
Owner-managed operations. Expect to invest 50-65 hours per week managing day-to-day activities, staff oversight, customer acquisition, and brand compliance. Focus on operational efficiency and franchisee standards adherence.

📊 Franchisee Health

Satisfaction Score82/100 (Good)
Annual Turnover Rate3.5%
Litigation Count (Item 3)2 cases
5-Year Closure Rate3%
Avg Franchisee Tenure10 years
Franchisee AssociationYes ✓

🚪 Exit Strategy & Resale

Resale Value Multiple2.5-3.5xx earnings
Transfer RestrictionsFranchisor approval required; right of first refusal
Non-Compete Period2 years
Non-Compete Radius10 miles
Avg Time to Sell6-12 months
Exit DifficultyModerate

📋 FDD Transparency Report

Item 19 QualityComprehensive
Item 19 Includes:
✓ Gross Revenue by quartile
✓ Operating costs breakdown
✓ Food costs
Territory ProtectionLimited
Territory scope varies by location; limited exclusivity provided
Required Suppliers?Yes
Supplier Markup RiskLow
Renewal Terms10-year term; renewal terms subject to brand standards compliance

🚩 FDD Red Flags & Green Flags

⚠️ Watch Out For:
High combined fee burden (>8%) (10.0% total)Low litigation history
✅ Positive Signals:
Item 19 comprehensive financial disclosureEstablished system with strong unit baseSBA default rate: 2.8%
💡 Due Diligence Verdict
A franchisee satisfaction score of 82/100 is a strong positive signal — happy franchisees usually mean good support, realistic expectations, and a healthy franchisor-franchisee relationship. Only 2 litigation cases in the FDD is a positive sign of a healthy franchisor-franchisee relationship.

AI Disruption Risk Assessment

🛡️ AI Disruption Risk: Low

25/100
AI-Proof Disruption Timeline: 5-10 years High Risk
Low risk. Wingstop's delivery-first model and high unit-level profitability create franchisee retention. Wing frying is capital-intensive but not highly skilled. AI optimizes logistics without disrupting the core model.
AI Threats:
AI schedulingWings assembly and fryer automation
Defensive Moat:
Fast-growing concept, delivery-first model, supply chain efficiency, and franchisee profitability.

Territory Saturation Analysis

0.66
Units per 100K pop.
0.02x
Saturation Index
vs. QSR avg (27.06/100K)
51
States with Presence
Low Saturation
Wingstop has significant whitespace opportunity relative to its category.

Geographic Distribution

No units
High density

Most Saturated States

State Units Population Per 100K
Wyoming41581,0007.06
Washington DC40671,0005.96
Vermont34645,0005.27
Alaska37733,0005.05
North Dakota38781,0004.87

Least Saturated States

State Units Population Per 100K
California8439,029,0000.22
Texas9630,503,0000.31
North Carolina3910,849,0000.36
Ohio4611,785,0000.39
Georgia4511,370,0000.40

Growth Opportunity States

High-population states where Wingstop has minimal or no presence — potential expansion territories.

This franchise has nationwide coverage

Investment Thesis

Wingstop carries a BUY signal with a FutureScore of 82/100. One of the best risk-adjusted opportunities in QSR. A $390K-$887K investment generating $1.9M AUV with 17% net margins — the math is exceptional. 12% unit growth rate and digital-first model position it for continued expansion.

Ideal Investor Profile: Growth-oriented multi-unit operator

Strengths

Fastest-growing QSR chain 2023-2025$1.9M AUV with low build-out costDigital-first model (60%+ digital sales)Small footprint = lower rentStrong unit economics

Risk Factors

Wing cost volatility10% combined royalty + adMulti-unit requirementIncreasing competition in wing segment

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